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Friday, April 4, 2025

Trinity County saw 27.6% increase in transfer dependency percentage since 1970 as of 2022

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John Lettieri, President and CEO of Economic Innovation Group | Official Website

John Lettieri, President and CEO of Economic Innovation Group | Official Website

In 2022, government transfers made up 41.1% of total income in Trinity County, California—an alarming 27.6% surge from 13.5% in 1970 and a 2.9% increase from 2012’s 38.2%. This marks the 19th largest increase among all California counties over the past decade, according to information from the Economic Innovation Group.

On a per capita basis, this translates to $14,925 per resident in 2022, up from $12,601 in 2012 and $2,681 in 1970, ranking Trinity County as the 56th fastest-growing in per capita government transfers among California counties over the past 10 years.

Meanwhile, Trinity County had the largest share of income derived from government transfers, making it the most dependent county in the state.

For comparison, the statewide average was 15.5% in 2022, showing a lower dependency than the national average of 17.6%. On a per capita level, this translates to $11,927 per resident, compared to $11,542 nationwide.

Government transfer payments are non-repayable funds provided by federal, state, or local governments to support individuals in need. These payments aim to stabilize economic conditions and provide financial support during hardships. Key programs include Social Security transfers (retirement benefits), Medicare transfers (healthcare for seniors), Medicaid transfers (healthcare for low-income individuals), and income maintenance transfers (financial assistance for basic needs).

In Trinity County, reliance on government transfers was just 13.5% (or $2,681 per capita in inflation-adjusted 2022 dollars) in 1970. This has since increased to a total of 27.6% since 1970. This shift is largely influenced by an aging population increased healthcare costs, and economic transformations that have reshaped income sources across the U.S.

In 2022, the primary government transfer programs in Trinity County included:

  • Social Security: $3,791 per capita (25.4% of total transfers)
  • Medicare: $3,006 per capita (20.1% of total transfers)
  • Medicaid: $5,000 per capita (33.5% of total transfers)
  • Income Maintenance Programs: $1,656 per capita (11.1% of total transfers)

With 30.9% of the population aged 65 and older, Trinity County has a significant demand for Social Security and Medicare. However, counties with higher poverty rates also show elevated Medicaid and income maintenance participation.

Government transfers have long been a modest financial safety net, historically comprising only a small fraction of Americans' income. However, since the 1970s—sometimes dubbed the “Great Transfer-mation”—dependency has surged from 8.2% (or $2,022 per capita in inflation-adjusted 2022 dollars) in 1970 to 17.6% (or $11,542 per capita) in 2022 nationwide.

According to the Economic Innovation Group’s analysis, these trends are not merely short-term responses to economic pressures but rather reflect a profound, long-term transformation in how government support is integrated into American life. The study illustrates that structural shifts—from rising healthcare expenses and demographic changes to stagnant wages—have significantly increased dependency on government transfers.

Government Transfer Trends by County in California, 2022
CountyDependency on Transfers (%)Change Since 2012Change Since 1970Per Capita Amount (2022)Per Capita Since 2012Per Capita Since 1970
Trinity County41.1%+2.9%+27.6%$14,925$2,324$12,244
Del Norte County39.3%+6.1%+26%$17,166$5,524$14,024
Modoc County37.2%+6.8%+26.4%$21,063$7,537$18,226
Siskiyou County36.8%+3.8%+24.7%$19,046$5,448$16,116
Lake County36.3%+3.4%+15.4%$16,563$3,656$11,621
Lassen County31.8%+8.3%+20.8%$12,950$4,857$10,208
Yuba County31.8%+2.2%+20.2%$15,320$3,508$12,635
Shasta County31.7%+1.4%+17.8%$17,135$3,926$13,833
Tehama County31.3%+2.4%+19%$14,813$3,732$12,003
Plumas County31.2%+3.4%+16.4%$18,548$5,217$14,678
Tuolumne County30.9%+4.2%+16.7%$16,290$4,282$13,148
Mendocino County29.9%+4.4%+16.8%$17,149$5,471$14,122
Imperial County29.8%+5.4%+17.8%$13,476$4,071$10,661
Amador County28.8%+4.1%+17.4%$13,970$3,156$11,057
Calaveras County27.7%+2%+14.8%$15,514$3,715$12,514
Glenn County27.7%+4.7%+16.9%$14,158$4,297$11,486
Butte County27.6%+1.3%+11.7%$15,156$3,993$11,677
Mariposa County27.4%+1.7%+16.2%$16,803$4,936$13,707
Humboldt County27.1%+3.6%+14.9%$14,667$4,212$11,714
Merced County27%+1.9%+16.1%$12,461$3,156$9,828
Alpine County26.7%+8.4%+15.4%$18,056$5,395$15,109
Tulare County26.6%+2.8%+12.3%$12,574$3,397$9,476
Sierra County26.4%+2%+13.8%$12,643$2,140$9,648
Fresno County25.8%+2.3%+12.6%$13,015$3,418$9,929
Inyo County25.1%+4.6%+13.5%$15,433$4,052$12,614
Sutter County24.6%+3.4%+16.2%$12,794$3,672$10,398
Kings County23.9%+3.2%+13.7%$10,173$2,898$7,777
Stanislaus County23.5%+1.6%+9.7%$11,991$2,923$8,707
Madera County23%+1.3%+7.4%$10,676$2,429$7,213
San Joaquin County23%-0.4%+11.6%$12,478$2,800$9,547
Kern County22.6%+4%+12.1%$10,122$2,414$7,589
San Bernardino County21.7%+0.8%+10.9%$10,706$2,705$8,081
Sacramento County21.5%+2.2%+11.8%$13,238$3,592$10,505
Solano County20.8%+3.3%+12.6%$12,097$3,716$9,915
Colusa County20%+1.3%+12.4%$11,121$2,712$8,574
Nevada County19.9%+2.4%+4.5%$14,479$4,012$10,792
Riverside County19.8%+0.8%+8.2%$10,171$2,505$7,089
Los Angeles County18.7%+2.9%+9.4%$13,893$4,569$11,125
San Luis Obispo County16.8%+1.9%+3.8%$11,393$3,431$8,441
Monterey County16.4%+2%+10%$10,646$3,052$8,575
Sonoma County15.9%+1%+4.2%$12,415$3,972$9,230
Yolo County15.5%+1.9%+7.7%$9,961$2,683$7,783
El Dorado County15.1%+1.4%+4.4%$12,405$3,574$9,472
San Diego County15%+1.2%+7.7%$11,109$3,036$8,918
San Benito County14.7%-0.3%+4.6%$9,080$2,129$6,594
Ventura County14.4%+2%+7.3%$10,959$3,429$9,117
Napa County14%+0.5%+4.3%$12,121$3,393$9,401
Santa Barbara County13.6%+1.6%+6%$10,320$2,930$8,072
Placer County13.5%+0.5%+2.2%$11,070$2,706$8,034
Santa Cruz County13.4%+1.2%+1.2%$11,582$3,868$8,372
Mono County12.1%+2.1%+5.7%$7,890$2,934$6,219
Alameda County11.9%-1.3%+2.9%$11,610$3,164$8,946
Contra Costa County11.8%+0.8%+4.3%$11,203$2,984$8,835
Orange County11.7%+1%+5.7%$9,775$2,631$7,988
Marin County6.8%-0.4%+1.7%$11,630$3,283$9,725
Santa Clara County6.6%-1.4%-0.3%$9,529$2,534$7,475
San Mateo County5.3%-1%-0.2%$9,223$2,518$7,241

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